Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.162987 0.186802 0.213923 0.247313 0.287616 0.335077 0.395765
2025-04-27 0.128400 0.159721 0.199417 0.254398 0.330171 0.433403 0.589218
2025-05-04 0.107360 0.141613 0.188560 0.259708 0.368751 0.536809 0.831453
2025-05-11 0.093770 0.129467 0.181526 0.266460 0.408973 0.654168 1.149586
2025-05-18 0.083034 0.118890 0.173868 0.269229 0.442167 0.770468 1.528997
2025-05-25 0.074511 0.109972 0.166688 0.270409 0.471948 0.890862 1.993500
2025-06-01 0.067230 0.101779 0.159051 0.268683 0.495145 1.006656 2.533388
2025-06-08 0.060847 0.094114 0.150966 0.264187 0.511086 1.112747 3.138761
2025-06-15 0.057203 0.090528 0.149377 0.271763 0.555333 1.309697 4.251856
2025-06-22 0.052416 0.084358 0.142148 0.266307 0.567676 1.426915 5.214472
2025-06-29 0.049248 0.080692 0.139083 0.269054 0.601224 1.626234 6.861613
2025-07-06 0.045835 0.076207 0.133822 0.265896 0.618504 1.784192 8.602902
2025-07-13 0.043488 0.073523 0.131919 0.270461 0.660031 2.061218 11.838451
2025-07-20 0.041554 0.071435 0.130981 0.277271 0.711387 2.420694 17.043532
2025-07-27 0.039696 0.069296 0.129652 0.282883 0.761730 2.824682 24.810478
2025-08-03 0.038145 0.067607 0.129061 0.290326 0.821756 3.341211 38.022779
2025-08-10 0.036413 0.065378 0.126990 0.293391 0.868200 3.843973 56.927355
2025-08-17 0.034717 0.063069 0.124458 0.294700 0.909282 4.373535 85.878853
2025-08-24 0.032968 0.060497 0.121021 0.292773 0.937427 4.864178 127.006336
2025-08-31 0.031188 0.057715 0.116795 0.287760 0.951368 5.281215 182.294705
2025-09-07 0.030313 0.056804 0.116950 0.296208 1.028741 6.358526 363.964337
2025-09-14 0.028728 0.054217 0.112733 0.290124 1.037207 6.843776 558.087082
2025-09-21 0.027726 0.052846 0.111401 0.293186 1.092249 7.932836 1183.948201